4

Chiprana

3yo Filly · 9-5

Fontainebleau · Prix Radio Evasion (prix De La Table Du Grand Maitre) Handicap · 1m 2f 205y

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lyon La Soie 11/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 12311/03C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 31/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12031/03C5C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 23/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12023/05C5C5 @ Aix-Les-Bains 26/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 12426/06C5C0 @ Deauville 27/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 13227/08C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Deauville?11th11th0
2026-06-26Aix-Les-Bains?3rd3rd0
2026-05-23Lyon-Parilly?4th4th0
2026-03-31Fontainebleau?10th10th0
2026-03-11Lyon La Soie?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0331/0323/0526/0627/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength33%

Delivery trend -7.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/03/20267th33/10%14%+0.14
31/03/202610th40/10%10%+0.10
23/05/20264th80/10%57%+0.57
26/06/20263rd20/10%75%+0.75
27/08/202611th5/174%17%-0.57