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3yo Gelding · 9-6

Fontainebleau · Prix Radio Evasion (prix De La Table Du Grand Maitre) Handicap · 1m 2f 205y

#11

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 8.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Salon-De-Provence 17/04/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 5f102y GS 12017/04C5C5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 04/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Sft 1284/02C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 28/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Sft 12828/02C5C5 @ Nancy 05/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 1285/06C5C0 @ Dieppe 13/07/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 13213/07C?3 @ Saint-Malo 01/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 1231/083C0 @ Vittel 11/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 12511/08C?projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-11Vittel?7th7th0
2026-08-01Saint-Malo36th6th0
2026-07-13Dieppe?15th15th0
2026-06-05Nancy?5th5th0
2026-02-28Fontainebleau?11th11th0
2026-02-04Cagnes-sur-Mer?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/045/0611/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/04/20259th40/10%0%0.00
04/02/20269th80/10%33%+0.33
28/02/202611th50/10%9%+0.09
05/06/20265th50/10%64%+0.64
13/07/202615th40/10%7%+0.07
01/08/20266th28/10%17%+0.17
11/08/20267th66/10%25%+0.25