7

L'espelette

3yo Filly · 9-2

Fontainebleau · Prix Radio Evasion (prix De La Table Du Grand Maitre) Handicap · 1m 2f 205y

#12

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Amiens 28/09/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 1m44y GS 12028/09C5C5 @ Deauville 01/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1281/11C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 15/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 12415/03C5C0 @ Evreux 15/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 12315/04C?C0 @ Saint-Malo 22/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 11822/07C?C0 @ Deauville 18/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 11818/08C?C0 @ Clairefontaine 29/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y Hvy 12829/08C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Clairefontaine?4th4th0
2026-08-18Deauville?5th5th0
2026-07-22Saint-Malo?3rd3rd0
2026-04-15Evreux?10th10th0
2026-03-15Saint-Cloud?8th8th0
2025-11-01Deauville?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0915/0429/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength96%

Delivery trend +5.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/09/202514th100/10%0%0.00
01/11/20259th33/10%0%0.00
15/03/20268th150/10%0%0.00
15/04/202610th150/10%0%0.00
22/07/20263rd50/10%80%+0.80
18/08/20265th33/10%71%+0.71
29/08/20264th3/184%63%-0.22