7

L'espelette
3yo Filly · 9-2
Fontainebleau · Prix Radio Evasion (prix De La Table Du Grand Maitre) Handicap · 1m 2f 205y
#12
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Saint-Malo | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Evreux | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Deauville | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/11/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/03/2026 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/04/2026 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 18/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 63% | -0.22 |