8

Linden Blossom

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Fontainebleau · Prix Radio Evasion (prix De La Table Du Grand Maitre) Handicap · 1m 2f 205y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lyon La Soie 21/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m208y Std 12821/01C5C5 @ Marseille 09/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f100y Std 128C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 06/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1176/06C?C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 21/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 128C5 @ Aix-Les-Bains 07/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 1287/07C5C0 @ Vittel 19/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 118C0 @ Vichy 06/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1136/08C?C0 @ Vichy 19/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 118C0 @ Clairefontaine 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y Hvy 12729/08C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Clairefontaine?2nd2nd0
2026-08-19Vichy?6th6th0
2026-08-06Vichy?5th5th0
2026-07-19Vittel?2nd2nd0
2026-07-07Aix-Les-Bains?4th4th0
2026-06-21Lyon-Parilly?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0121/066/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength95%

Delivery trend -3.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/01/20264th66/10%63%+0.63
09/03/20268th40/10%13%+0.13
06/06/202610th33/10%18%+0.18
21/06/20266th66/10%17%+0.17
07/07/20264th16/116%50%+0.34
19/07/20262nd12/137%89%+0.52
06/08/20265th14/126%20%-0.06
19/08/20266th12/137%38%+0.01
29/08/20262nd6/168%88%+0.19