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6

Spirit Boy

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Fontainebleau · Prix Radio Evasion (prix De La Table Du Grand Maitre) Handicap · 1m 2f 205y

#9

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Pau 07/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1287/01C5C5 @ Pau 18/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 128C5 @ Pau 23/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12823/02C5C5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 11/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y GS 128C5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12027/04C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m208y Gd 120C5 @ Tarbes 03/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 1283/07C5C0 @ Mont De Marsan 23/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f39y Gd 112C0 @ Tarbes 29/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 11729/08C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Tarbes?7th7th0
2026-07-23Mont De Marsan?5th5th0
2026-07-03Tarbes?6th6th0
2026-06-26La Teste De Buch?4th4th0
2026-04-27Bordeaux Le Bouscat?8th8th0
2026-04-11Bordeaux Le Bouscat?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0111/043/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/01/20268th33/10%13%+0.13
18/01/20268th40/10%13%+0.13
23/02/20267th40/10%40%+0.40
11/04/20268th40/10%13%+0.13
27/04/20268th50/10%36%+0.36
26/06/20264th10/147%67%+0.19
03/07/20266th10/382%44%-0.38
23/07/20265th10/147%50%+0.03
29/08/20267th17/255%14%-0.41