1
Crowdfunding
8yo Gelding · 9-5
Fontainebleau · Prix De L'afasec (prix De La Grotte Aux Cristaux) Claiming Stakes · 6f 211y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength63%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Deauville | 2 | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 3 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-07-01 | Nantes | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength90%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 79% | +0.15 |
| 25/05/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 27% | -0.46 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |