8
Danelo
8yo Gelding · 8-8
Fontainebleau · Prix De L'afasec (prix De La Grotte Aux Cristaux) Claiming Stakes · 6f 211y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength58%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Dieppe | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 2 | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-12 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-10-24 | Clairefontaine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Compiegne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/2023 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 03/11/2024 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 23/04/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 16/09/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/10/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 30% | -0.33 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 02/08/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 47% | +0.10 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |