Jusearth Fal
4yo Gelding · 8-11
Fontainebleau · Prix De L'afasec (prix De La Grotte Aux Cristaux) Claiming Stakes · 6f 211y
#6
Rank
Odds
19/10
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-04-05 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 7th | 3rd | +4 |
| 2026-03-08 | Chantilly | 1 | 4th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-08-26 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 13/07/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 07/08/2025 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 22% | -0.60 |
| 26/08/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 20% | -0.69 |
| 06/02/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 86% | +0.80 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 05/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 30/04/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 56% | -0.29 |