Modern Spirit
4yo Gelding · 9-2
Fontainebleau · Prix De L'afasec (prix De La Grotte Aux Cristaux) Claiming Stakes · 6f 211y
#8
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 3 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | 3 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 3 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 16/03/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 14/05/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 30% | -0.12 |
| 25/05/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 55% | +0.12 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 01/09/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 14/09/2026 | 12th | 11/1 | 42% | 27% | -0.15 |