Out Of The Blue
4yo Gelding · 9-4
Fontainebleau · Prix De L'afasec (prix De La Grotte Aux Cristaux) Claiming Stakes · 6f 211y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 6.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 3 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-08-06 | Les Sables | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 14th | 12th | +2 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | 3 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 15/02/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 24/02/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 23/03/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 11/04/2026 | 14th | 12/1 | 37% | 7% | -0.30 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 25/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |
| 01/09/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 14/09/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |