5
No Limits
4yo Filly · 9-1
Fontainebleau · Prix De L'imperatrice Eugenie - Handicap Challenge Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#2
Rank
Odds
16/10
Win Prob
77%
Place Prob
54%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 3 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-11 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-10-23 | Deauville | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Marseille | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2024 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 47% | +0.05 |
| 28/02/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 01/04/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 08/10/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 23/10/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 11% | -0.47 |
| 11/03/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 26/06/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |