3
Panzer
6yo Gelding · 9-4
Fontainebleau · Prix De L'imperatrice Eugenie - Handicap Challenge Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
19%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength3%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +4.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-07 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-22 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-09 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-15 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-19 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-06-10 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2024 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 16/04/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 08/05/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 10/06/2025 | 13th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 19/06/2025 | 13th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 15/08/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 09/09/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 90% | +0.32 |
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 07/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |