IvyArcIvyArc
4

Sogynt

7yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 76

Fontainebleau · Prix De L'imperatrice Eugenie - Handicap Challenge Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#4

Rank

Odds

17/5

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength64%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pornichet 28/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 12928/12C?4 @ Deauville 09/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 76 · 1m4f94y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/01/2026 · OR 76 par4 @ Pornichet 27/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS27/0144 @ Lyon La Soie 14/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Lyon La Soie 24/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS24/0243 @ Lyon La Soie 11/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Deauville 04/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS4/0834 @ Vichy 15/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 138 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Deauville 23/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 76 · 1m1f207y Sft 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 76 par23/082OR 76projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Deauville214th11th+3
2026-08-15Vichy49th8th+1
2026-08-04Deauville38th6th+2
2026-03-11Lyon La Soie35th3rd+2
2026-02-24Lyon La Soie41st0th+1
2026-02-14Lyon La Soie43rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1214/024/0823/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength81%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/12/20252nd5/174%93%+0.19
09/01/20262nd9/276%91%+0.15
27/01/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
14/02/20263rd11/486%85%-0.01
24/02/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
11/03/20265th6/168%50%-0.18
04/08/20268th40/10%13%+0.13
15/08/20269th33/10%11%+0.11
23/08/202614th50/10%0%0.00