2

Almiro

6yo Gelding · 10-5

Fontainebleau · Prix Duc D'albuquerque - Trophee Studio Harcourt Stakes · 1m 2f 205y

#3

Rank

Odds

18/5

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength68%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 04/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Sft 131 · HIGHER CLASS4/0222 @ Saint-Cloud 29/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 127 · HIGHER CLASS1 @ ParisLongchamp 10/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 20 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 120 · HIGHER CLASS10/0513 @ Lyon-Parilly 23/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS1 @ Chantilly 31/05/2026 · Pos 17th of 17 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 119 · HIGHER CLASS31/0512 @ ParisLongchamp 14/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 128 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Vichy 12/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 123 · HIGHER CLASS12/0832 @ Le Lion D'angers 20/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 123 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ ParisLongchamp 06/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 124 · HIGHER CLASS6/092projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06ParisLongchamp210th7th+3
2026-08-20Le Lion D'angers23rd0th+3
2026-08-12Vichy32nd0th+2
2026-07-14ParisLongchamp210th7th+3
2026-05-31Chantilly117th13th+4
2026-05-23Lyon-Parilly32nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0223/0512/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength87%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/02/20269th4/179%47%-0.32
29/03/20264th13/266%80%+0.14
10/05/202611th14/126%47%+0.21
23/05/20262nd10/382%89%+0.06
31/05/202617th6/168%0%-0.68
14/07/202610th8/158%31%-0.27
12/08/20262nd7/282%86%+0.04
20/08/20263rd2/189%78%-0.12
06/09/202610th25/10%40%+0.40