3

Devil In The Sky

6yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 77

Fontainebleau · Prix Duc D'albuquerque - Trophee Studio Harcourt Stakes · 1m 2f 205y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength63%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 29/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m7f90y GS 15629/06C5C5 @ ParisLongchamp 13/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 156C5 @ Le Croise-Laroche 17/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 14517/10C5C5 @ Pornichet 22/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 150C5 @ Pornichet 14/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 15014/12C53 @ Saint-Cloud 01/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 147 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Saint-Cloud 28/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m7f90y GS 147 · HIGHER CLASS28/063C5 @ ParisLongchamp 14/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1474 @ Epsom Downs 31/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 79 · 1m4f6y GS 157 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 79 par31/084OR 79projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Epsom Downs411th10th+1
2026-07-14ParisLongchamp?4th4th0
2026-06-28Saint-Cloud34th2nd+2
2026-05-01Saint-Cloud34th2nd+2
2025-12-14Pornichet?3rd3rd0
2025-11-22Pornichet?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0622/1128/0631/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength82%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/06/20256th13/266%50%-0.16
13/07/20253rd5/174%67%-0.07
17/10/20253rd10/382%67%-0.16
22/11/20254th4/179%73%-0.06
14/12/20253rd11/486%67%-0.19
01/05/20264th20/10%67%+0.67
28/06/20264th2/189%50%-0.39
14/07/20264th6/168%50%-0.18
31/08/202611th33/10%23%+0.23