Seona

4yo Filly · 10-4

Fontainebleau · Prix Duc D'albuquerque - Trophee Studio Harcourt Stakes · 1m 2f 205y

Rank

Odds

12/5

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read

Move▼3

Strength68%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C1.8

Today:

Class gap: +2.7

Higher-class runs: 5

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-27	Deauville	2	9th	6th	+3	4.0
2026-08-11	Deauville	2	3rd	0th	+3	5.0
2026-07-19	Chantilly	2	5th	2nd	+3	8.0
2026-06-08	Angers	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-05-14	Le Lion D'angers	1	4th	0th	+4	5.0
2026-04-12	ParisLongchamp	2	11th	8th	+3	2.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▼

Strength76%

Delivery trend -4.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
24/02/2026	2nd	13/2	66%	86%	+0.20
15/03/2026	6th	22/1	0%	67%	+0.67
27/03/2026	2nd	4/1	79%	91%	+0.12
12/04/2026	11th	8/1	58%	29%	-0.29
14/05/2026	4th	17/2	55%	63%	+0.07
08/06/2026	4th	9/1	53%	80%	+0.27
19/07/2026	5th	10/1	47%	69%	+0.22
11/08/2026	3rd	11/2	71%	87%	+0.16
27/08/2026	9th	4/1	79%	47%	-0.32