9
Lalou
6yo Mare · 8-5
Fontainebleau · Prix Philippe Lorain Claiming Stakes · 1m 4f 203y
#1
Rank
Odds
16/5
Win Prob
59%
Place Prob
42%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength62%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Strasbourg | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-03-27 | Compiegne | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Strasbourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Strasbourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength81%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 14/06/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 44% | -0.16 |
| 20/07/2025 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 27% | -0.33 |
| 14/09/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 05/10/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 73% | -0.03 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 54% | +0.12 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 71% | -0.19 |