Mozart Des Brieres
6yo Gelding · 9-4
Fontainebleau · Prix Philippe Lorain Claiming Stakes · 1m 4f 203y
#5
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 2 | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2026-06-30 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 53% | -0.15 |
| 29/04/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 11% | -0.55 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 62% | +0.56 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 23/07/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |