1
Elusive Chalice
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 75
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
71%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +30.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 14% | -0.70 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |