That Police
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 77
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.1 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2025-09-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2025-08-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-08-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -12.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 31/08/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 26/09/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |