2
Ghostlight
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 67
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -26.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 20/12/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 19/03/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 24/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |