7
O'hearn
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 54
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
Delivery trend +16.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 20/02/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 12/03/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 17/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 20/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |