6
Pretty Geisha
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 73
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
90%
Place Prob
65%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |