4
Somerset Mia
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 69
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 01/03/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 12/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 08/08/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |