3
Mosai
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 75
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength87%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 15/03/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |