1
Star Of The Gun
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 85
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength42%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-03-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength75%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 12/12/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 27/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 23/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |