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5

Fiftyshadesofpink

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 71

Gulfstream · Race 4 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 6f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 21/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 5f110y 11921/03C9C6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 10/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 59 · 1m39y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 59 par10/04C6OR 59C6 @ Gulfstream 17/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 71 · 1m110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 71 par17/05C6OR 71projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-17Gulfstream?5th4th+1
2026-04-10Tampa Bay Downs?2nd1st+1
2026-03-21Tampa Bay Downs?4th6th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0310/0417/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength61%

Delivery trend +3.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/03/20264th4/179%67%-0.12
10/04/20262nd11/271%75%+0.04
17/05/20265th10/147%43%-0.05