
Lady Cajun
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 70
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 27/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |