8

Lady Cajun

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 70

Gulfstream · Race 4 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 6f 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength22%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 04/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS4/07C6C9 @ Gulfstream 27/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 54 · 5f Fm 122 · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 54 par27/07C9OR 54C6 @ Gulfstream 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 66 · 5f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 66 par29/08C6OR 66projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Gulfstream?2nd1st+1
2026-07-27Gulfstream?5th7th2
2026-07-04Gulfstream?8th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0727/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength63%

Delivery trend -1.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/07/20268th40/10%13%+0.13
27/07/20265th33/10%33%+0.33
29/08/20262nd5/174%83%+0.10