6
Pan Pan
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 88
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-01-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-12-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-21 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength86%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 25/07/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 21/08/2025 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 57% | -0.36 |
| 04/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 24/12/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 30/01/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 78% | -0.01 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 91% | -0.03 |