8
Apache One Six
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 86
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-02-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-01-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength68%
Delivery trend +6.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 30% | -0.52 |
| 04/01/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 01/02/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |