4
Disattached
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 90
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength58%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 10/04/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 22/05/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 13/06/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 11/07/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 16/08/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 88% | -0.09 |