2
Hands Of Time
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 91
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
37%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-09-01 | Saratoga | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2024 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 11/04/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 28/05/2025 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 40% | -0.52 |
| 18/07/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 01/09/2025 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 23/04/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |