9

Masayoshi

4yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 91

Gulfstream · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#9

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength36%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 96 · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/07/2025 · OR 96 par4/07C5OR 96C5 @ Laurel Park 07/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 91 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/11/2025 · OR 91 parC5 @ Laurel Park 16/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 89 · 1m110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/11/2025 · OR 89 par16/11C5OR 89C5 @ Laurel Park 20/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 88 · 7f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 88 parC6 @ Gulfstream 04/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 86 · 5f Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 86 par4/04C6OR 86C8 @ Gulfstream 19/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 80 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 80 parC7 @ Gulfstream 19/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 83 · 1m70y 126 · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 83 par19/06C7OR 83C7 @ Gulfstream 15/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 86 · 1m Fm 124 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 86 parC8 @ Gulfstream 06/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 91 · 1m 125 · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 91 par6/09C8OR 91projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Gulfstream?2nd3rd1
2026-08-15Gulfstream?3rd3rd0
2026-06-19Gulfstream?4th4th0
2026-04-19Gulfstream?4th5th1
2026-04-04Gulfstream?8th7th+1
2025-12-20Laurel Park?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0720/1219/066/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/07/202510th10/147%18%-0.29
07/11/20256th33/10%38%+0.38
16/11/20257th12/137%14%-0.23
20/12/20255th9/153%33%-0.19
04/04/20268th40/10%0%0.00
19/04/20264th25/10%40%+0.40
19/06/20264th14/126%40%+0.14
15/08/20263rd20/10%71%+0.71
06/09/20262nd11/486%75%-0.11