IvyArcIvyArc
3

Power From Above

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 73

Gulfstream · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#10

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength1%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 08/02/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS8/02C6C6 @ Gulfstream 15/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 75 · 1m Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/03/2025 · OR 75 parC9 @ Gulfstream 25/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 72 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark25/04/2025 · OR 72 par25/04C9OR 72C9 @ Gulfstream 13/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 73 · 1m70y Fas 121 · beat its mark13/12/2025 · OR 73 parC8 @ Gulfstream 10/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 73 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark10/01/2026 · OR 73 par10/01C8OR 73C8 @ Gulfstream 31/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 75 · 1m110y Fas 123 · beat its mark31/01/2026 · OR 75 parC7 @ Gulfstream 27/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 82 · 1m70y Fas 119 · below its mark27/02/2026 · OR 82 par27/02C7OR 82C8 @ Gulfstream 14/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 81 · 1m 123 · below its mark14/03/2026 · OR 81 parC8 @ Gulfstream 11/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 84 · 1m110y Gd 122 · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 84 par11/04C8OR 84projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-11Gulfstream?6th7th−1
2026-03-14Gulfstream?4th5th−1
2026-02-27Gulfstream?5th5th0
2026-01-31Gulfstream?1st2nd−1
2026-01-10Gulfstream?2nd3rd−1
2025-12-13Gulfstream?1st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0213/1227/0211/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength19%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/02/20258th40/10%22%+0.22
15/03/20256th25/10%0%0.00
25/04/20257th20/10%25%+0.25
13/12/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
10/01/20262nd9/276%75%-0.01
31/01/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
27/02/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
14/03/20264th33/10%57%+0.57
11/04/20266th14/126%0%-0.26