1
Action Delight
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 68
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
93%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength13%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 06/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |