5
Raskolnikov
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 67
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength6%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 03/07/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 18/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |