3
Taparino
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 69
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 13/02/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 26/02/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 04/07/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |