4
Tybee Echo
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 72
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 04/01/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 01/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 01/03/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 11% | -0.55 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 10/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |