9
Banded Rocket
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 92
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 16/11/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 06/02/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 57% | -0.32 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 04/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 57% | -0.33 |