10
Carambaso
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 85
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/01/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 29/01/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 07/03/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 26/04/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |