2
Cruzin Man
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 94
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 13/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 23/08/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 20/09/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 26/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |