5
My Voodoo Doll
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 90
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength37%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 16/03/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 19/07/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 08/08/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 24/10/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 19/12/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 08/01/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 43% | -0.44 |
| 29/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |