4
Quizler
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 103
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength59%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 08/01/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 15/02/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 04/04/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 17/08/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |