6
Tap To Mischief
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 87
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-06-08 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-07-06 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -14.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2024 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 08/06/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 10/08/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 10/05/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |