7
Three Zero
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 98
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
69%
Place Prob
47%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 27/02/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 26/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 23/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |