2
Amberssohn
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 79
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -20.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 12/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |