8
Hallow's Ice
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 62
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength57%
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 16/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 29/11/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 11/01/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/02/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 29/04/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |