3
Holy Cow
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 65
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/01/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 20/02/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 15/03/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 04/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 06/09/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |