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Celtic Storm

2yo Colt · 9-7

Hamilton · Wee Brian Reilly Memorial EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 68y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/10

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

86%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Texas colt who is shaping up well, building on his debut effort and suited by the increase in trip when posting a good third in a Kempton novice (1m) 16 days ago, doing by far of those from off the pace. Will go on improving and claims if proving as effective under these conditions.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 10/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 7f Sta 13310/0844 @ Kempton 04/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m Sta 1304/094projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Kempton43rd3rd0
2026-08-10Kempton45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength99%

Delivery trend +7.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/08/20265th5/174%64%-0.10
04/09/20263rd3/184%82%-0.02