4

Frontier Legend

2yo Colt · 9-7

Hamilton · Wee Brian Reilly Memorial EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 68y

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Timeform

Commentary

At long odds and showed only greenness when well held in novice at Newcastle (6f) on debut in July. Significantly up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 13.0 /10 (raw 13.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newcastle 25/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 6f Sta 12725/074
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Newcastle413th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 11-16 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength4%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/07/202613th150/10%8%+0.08